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The present one-dimensional “groupthink” within the Western world, disguised as a well-celebrated “united” technique in opposition to Russia (within the Russia-Ukraine disaster), is in actual fact anti-Western by being “self-destructive” in making a “divisive” new world order which not solely will speed up its personal decline but additionally will create extra discord amongst nations and decrease well-being in societies all over the world.
To know this, take into account the next 3 main elements of world affairs that the Western alliance has critically miscalculated (in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster), whereas Western mainstream mass media (e.g., CNN, BBC, FRANCE 24, DW, and others) is complicit in its each day protection (as a disinformation cheerleader).
1st Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Freedom in World Politics
The primary severe Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to self-gratifyingly assume that it stands for “freedom” on this planet in opposition to “autocracy” within the East (just like the Russian invasion of Ukraine), which then licenses the Western alliance to pull the remainder of the world to its facet with this Manichaean narrative of the world. However this Manichaean narrative backfires in 3 main methods and contributes to neither freedom nor world peace.
Within the first manner, the remainder of the world (particularly within the Non-West) doesn’t need to be a part of this geopolitical rivalry between the U.S.-led world and the Russia-led one for hegemony (as that they had already tasted the bitter dose of proxy wars within the first Chilly Conflict between the U.S. and the usS.R.). Many within the Non-West in Africa, Asia, and Latin America (besides these few nations that are a part of the Western alliance) resent the relentless strain (or coercion) by the Western alliance to pull them to its orbit and thus have thus far refused to facet with it. Certainly, fairly quite a lot of them even present sympathy to Russia which has been put in a nook by the ruthless enlargement of NATO into its yard and has due to this fact threatened its nationwide safety; even Pope Francis on Might 3, 2022 mentioned that NATO “barking” at Russia’s door “provoked” Putin and “facilitated” the invasion of Ukraine; or in a different way put, take into account how the U.S. would react if Canada and Mexico determined to grow to be new members of the Russian navy alliance. Not surprisingly, there’s now a re-emergence of the “non-alignment” motion within the Non-West (which was as soon as widespread through the first Chilly Conflict when these roughly 120 nations refused to completely facet with the American and Soviet energy blocs), as they’re now more and more resentful in direction of, and bored with, being compelled (with mushy and onerous energy) into taking facet with the West within the present Russia-Ukraine disaster. For example, Mexico and Brazil, the two largest nations in Latin America, refuse to sentence Russia (despite Western strain); India and China, the two largest nations in Asia, refuse to take facet with the West (despite Western strain), and OPEC (with a lot of its rich members within the Center East) has stood agency on its oil take care of Russia and doesn’t yield to Western strain to punish Russia with extra oil manufacturing (after sanctions). And plenty of in Africa want to be left alone and thoughts their very own enterprise (as they have already got a lot to fret about with their downside of underdevelopment at residence), however Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni was blunt in his response to Western strain:
“Don’t threaten me, and I can’t threaten you.”
Within the second manner, the Western Manichaean narrative not solely has did not resolve the Russia-Ukraine disaster peacefully but additionally, to make issues worse, has escalated it into an all-out warfare between the 2 sides, with the Western alliance actively sending superior weapons to, sharing intelligence with, and covertly collaborating in combating (with Western fighters) in Ukraine. It more and more appears doubtless that Ukraine will stay a supply of proxy battle between the 2 competing energy blocs for years to return.
Within the third manner, the Western Manichaean narrative has intensified a “hybrid” warfare to “weaken” Russia, as confirmed by the U.S. Secretary of Protection Lloyd Austin on April 26, so the disaster is now remodeled into the search for the next “strategic” aim (totally different from its unique modest aim to make peace between Ukraine and Russia) to “weaken” Russia in any respect prices (within the title of “freedom”) within the energy competitors between East and West. It will additional contribute to a chronic attrition warfare between the 2 sides.
In these 3 ways, the Western Manichaean narrative contributes to only the other (that’s, resentment and warfare).
2nd Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Decoupling in World Commerce
The second severe Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to naively assume that banning commerce with Russia will cease its aggression, so the world will then stay in peace and prosperity. However this naïve commerce narrative backfires in 2 main methods and contributes to neither peace nor prosperity.
Within the first manner, banning commerce with Russia contributes to a decoupling of worldwide commerce and due to this fact to rising prices and inefficiency in world commerce. That is all of the extra severe in Europe, because it is determined by Russia for pure sources (like oil and gasoline) with a very good cause, as the worldwide provide chains weren’t created yesterday and have taken many years for the world financial system to evolve into what’s like in the present day. So to interrupt them up instantly creates 2 severe issues. First, in search of different provide chains will take many years to attain, not one thing to be completed in a matter of days and weeks. And second, any different provide chains shall be comparatively extra expensive and inefficient, for the reason that Western world is now desperately trying to find different provides in distant locations like Africa, that are extra expensive to provide and transport to Europe, and the U.S. even goes as far as to barter (not but efficiently) with its distant foe in Latin America, particularly, Venezuela, for an alternate oil provide (whose regime the U.S. has tried for many years to overthrow).
Within the second manner, banning commerce with Russia will contribute to inflationary (and presumably stagflationary) and recessionary penalties. Russia is a serious provider of pure sources and commodities (like oil, gasoline, coal, minerals, wheat, corn, and so forth) to the world, so banning it (with the results of much less provides to the world) shall be inflationary (and presumably stagflationary), so shoppers and companies will find yourself paying far more than they need to. As well as, if financial authorities within the West (and elsewhere) intervene to tame it by greater rates of interest, there’ll doubtless be financial recessions in due time. Economists usually dislike inflation, stagflation, and recession, as they have a tendency to decrease residing requirements. That is all of the extra severe, when the Western world for the reason that turbulent period of Trump has already doubled down on decoupling with China, the highest buying and selling nation on this planet and the “world’s manufacturing facility.” It’s not shocking that, within the present United States beneath Biden (who continues Trump’s populist coverage of decoupling), inflation has already reached a excessive stage unseen in additional than 40 years (partly additionally as a result of COVID-19 pandemic), and lots of economists had predicted a looming recession, because the Fed seeks to tame inflation by mountain climbing rates of interest.
Thus, in these two methods, decoupling contributes to only the other (that’s, battle and decrease residing commonplace).
third Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Sanctions in World Finance
The third severe Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to mistakenly assume that imposing large sanctions on Russia will cripple its financial system (to discourage it from additional aggression in opposition to its neighbors), so the world will then exist with extra concord and better well-being. However this mistaken monetary narrative backfires in 2 main methods and contributes to neither higher concord nor greater well-being.
Within the first manner, imposing large sanctions on Russia (like freezing and confiscating Russian belongings in Western establishments) will contribute to the additional erosion of confidence within the greenback and euro in world finance, as a result of disturbing incontrovertible fact that this blatantly violates worldwide legislation and is “unjust” in political-philosophical discourse, as an excessive type of state-sponsored “theft” and “theft.” Thus, there’s now an acute sense of intense nervousness traditionally unseen in many years within the Non-West about this Western weaponization of its currencies (just like the greenback and euro), as a ruthless type of state-sponsored “theft” and “theft” of another person’s cash (or belongings). With this nationwide urgency in thoughts, Russia now calls for the EU to pay for its gasoline imports in ruble (not greenback or euro). Russia and China at the moment are discussing the necessity to speed up using yuan and ruble (not greenback or euro) in bilateral commerce, and China and Saudi Arabia are coming near an settlement to commerce with their native currencies (not greenback or euro). As well as, India and Russia begin the speak for a rupee-ruble cost scheme to keep away from future Western sanctions, and different nations (like Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, North Korea, and many others.) have already tried totally different mechanisms to struggle Western sanctions. Particularly, China is forward within the sport by selling digital forex denominated in yuan (“digital yuan”) and has already run “public trials” of digital yuan in main cities like Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, and others, earlier than institutionally implementing it throughout the board quickly.
Within the second manner, imposing large sanctions on Russia (like banning it from using SWIFT and Visa/Mastercard) will contribute to the additional decline of Western-dominated worldwide cost techniques in the long term. Once more, with this nationwide urgency in thoughts, each Russia and China now speed up using their very own monetary switch techniques (like SPFS and CIPS, respectively), simply as in addition they speed up their swap to UnionPay (China’s Visa and Mastercard different), which, by Might 2022, has already unfold to 180 nations and is accepted by greater than 50 million retailers worldwide. And Russia is dashing to implement Mir (Russia’s Visa and Mastercard different), proper after Western sanctions.
In fact, all these counter-measures will take years and many years to totally implement, however the level right here is that, in these two methods, Western sanctions on others contribute to only the other (that’s, distrust and isolation), with world finance breaking down into totally different regional techniques, in order to fight Western monetary domination and weaponization.
Conclusion: the West as its Personal Worst Enemy
On these three main fronts, the Western world, with its present one-dimensional “groupthink” which doesn’t welcome dissenting voices in a well-celebrated “united” technique, is self-destructive in striving for a “divisive” new world order for the reason that collapse of the Bretten-Woods system in 1974 and, for the primary time for the reason that rise of the fashionable West, is all of the extra accelerating its personal decline (although it doesn’t trigger it, as a result of the decline has already been ongoing for fairly a while).
By “weakening” Russia and thereby forcing it helplessly farther into the Chinese language orbit and by being “self-destructive” unto its personal additional decline (in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster), the Western world turns into its personal worst enemy in accelerating the rise of China because the dominant energy within the years and many years to return (although it doesn’t trigger the Asian rise, which has already been ongoing for many years). On this sense, it’s no exaggeration to foretell that China could be the largest winner when the dusts within the Russia-Ukraine disaster calm down, after each the West and Russia will exhaust themselves in Ukraine as a chronic proxy warfare, at occasions irrationally (e.g., when Biden will get private with assaults on Putin and his household and mates).
Absolutely, simply because the rise of the fashionable West was not accomplished in just a few days or perhaps weeks, its fall may even take many years on the very least. However this solace isn’t any excuse to the historic actuality that the Western world is anti-Western by being self-destructive in entrance of our very eyes, in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster (which at occasions will get too unwisely “private,” like sanctioning Putin’s daughters and confiscating his mates’ [or Russian oligarchs’] belongings). Whether or not that is good or dangerous information is relative to the eyes of the beholder, however historical past will quickly have a brand new chapter concerning the fall of an as soon as dominant civilization and the rise of an inspiring one to switch it on the world stage.
In regards to the writer:
Dr. Peter Baofu is an American visionary and writer of 175 scholarly books and quite a few articles (as of February 2022) to offer 141 visions (theories) of the human future in relation to the thoughts, nature, society, and tradition — and had been in additional than 118 nations all over the world (as of Might 2022) for his world analysis on humanity. He was interviewed on tv and radio in addition to by newspapers all over the world about his unique concepts and visions of the human future. He obtained greater than 5 tutorial levels, together with a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Know-how (M.I.T.), was a summa cum laude graduate, and was awarded the Delta Sigma Pi Scholarship Key for being on the prime of the category within the Faculty of Enterprise Administration, with one other pupil.
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