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From simply seven states in 2014 to 17 states in 2022, the BJP footprint has grown past conventional strongholds to overcome new forts just like the Northeast. However the Wall of Vindhyas has been a tricky one to crack up to now. On this particular sequence on BJP’s Peninsular Pitch, News18 takes a take a look at the saffron get together’s renewed push for electoral success in southern India.
In Half 6 of the sequence, we observe the BJP’s journey in Karnataka, the southern state the place it has had probably the most success. However the blooming Lotus has additionally include its fair proportion of thorns.
Karnataka has been the BJP’s gateway to the south. Underneath the management of BS Yediyurappa, the Lotus bloomed within the area, but the get together has a number of challenges regardless of being in energy 4 occasions since 2008.
The Bharatiya Janata Social gathering shaped its first authorities within the south below the management of Yediyurappa however has had a rocky journey since, one fraught with allegations of corruption, horse-trading, and factionalism.
In lower than a yr, individuals in Karnataka will likely be casting their vote for an election that’s being perceived as a tricky one, as each the Congress and BJP are fighting inner factionalism. With the slogan of “Congress-Mukt Bharat” (Congress-free India), the BJP leaders specific their confidence of coming again to energy on their very own, identical to they did in 2008 below the management of BS Yediyurappa (BSY).
Chief minister Basavaraj Bommai declared that the BJP will go to the individuals with its report card and win their hearts. “Allow us to make the Lotus bloom within the hearts of the individuals and the third flooring of Vidhana Soudha within the 2023 polls” is a press release that displays the BJP’s hopes of retaining energy by itself.
The get together is relying on the discord inside the Karnataka Congress to work to its benefit.
“The struggle between DK Shivakumar and Siddaramaiah is resulting in a break up within the Congress. Moreover, now we have been working within the Outdated Mysore area the place the JD(S) has begun to lose its charisma. The gram panchayat elections additionally present how individuals are transferring in direction of us, clearly an indicator that the BJP is what individuals want,” mentioned Capt Ganesh Karnik, BJP spokesperson.
There are just a few key challenges dealing with the BJP in Karnataka.
Because the ruling get together, it’s anticipated to go to the voters, looking for their endorsement for a second time period, although it has not been capable of put up a united entrance. Corruption has been one other main challenge that the BJP has needed to battle with.
Having modified the chief minister in lower than a yr and going into marketing campaign with a CM who’s but to firmly set up his management over the state unit and the federal government, the BJP has its work lower out for the 2023 meeting polls. The Yediyurappa affect nonetheless stays and the get together understands that with out the chief’s help it won’t be able to go to the individuals. Inside squabbles and the necessity for a robust face, particularly within the southern Karnataka area, has additionally impacted the BJP’s political plan.
Corruption prices
A senior BJP functionary requesting anonymity advised News18 that one of many main challenges that the get together has been dealing with because it shaped the federal government in 2008 is corruption.
“Corruption is an enormous issue and concern within the upcoming polls. Whereas the excessive command could be very clear that there’s zero tolerance for corruption, the place does one begin to take care of the problem? We noticed how Eshwarappa was requested to step down (as state minister) by the highest brass: a transparent message to all. However the state management additionally must take some powerful measures,” the chief mentioned.
The Basavaraj Bommai-led authorities had lately been caught within the midst of a significant corruption controversy. A civil contractor, in his suicide be aware, accused former minister KS Eshwarappa of charging fee for a roadwork challenge. Quickly after, the Karnataka Civil Contractors Affiliation accused authorities officers of demanding a 40 per cent fee for clearing contracts for state-funded initiatives. This allegation was adopted up by one other one by Lingayat seer Dingaleshwar Swami who additionally alleged that the Balehosur Mutt had been requested to pay a 30 per cent fee to authorities officers to construct a guesthouse.
Curiously, within the final 5 years, 310 circumstances of corruption have been registered and investigated in opposition to authorities officers by the Anti-corruption Bureau. Nonetheless, the state authorities has not supplied sanctions to prosecute these officers in 72 per cent of those circumstances.
“We would want to make sure we go along with a clear, lean, imply group and search the help of our voters. We might must be a recent new Karnataka BJP that follows the Sabka Vikas, Sabka Vishwas method,” added one other BJP chief on situation of anonymity.
Making certain a single-party authorities
In Karnataka, coalition governments are actually the norm, however curiously not one in every of them has accomplished a full time period. News18 spoke to a number of senior BJP leaders who had been of the opinion that Karnataka can profit solely when a single get together guidelines the state, as coalitions don’t work. The primary coalition authorities in Karnataka was shaped in 2004 between the Congress and the Janata Dal (Secular) below the management of Dharam Singh (Congress). However this authorities lasted lower than two years after a sequence of defections led by JD(S)’s HD Kumaraswamy induced the federal government to break down. The situation was repeated a few occasions. The current authorities additionally stands on the help of 18 MLAs who stop the Congress and JD(S) to affix the BJP.
“There are inner variations. However each get together has them. What’s necessary is that we stand united in entrance of the individuals. We take our inner variations as our power to develop as a celebration and enhance our individuals administration expertise. Having mentioned this, we also needs to be certain that now we have a single-party authorities; or else, governments will come, totter and go,” mentioned a senior BJP chief to News18.
On a query on alliances or looking for help in the event that they fall wanting a majority, the chief mentioned that this time the BJP excessive command has give you a “profitable method— one that may be certain that the Lotus stands by itself in Karnataka.”
Conserving the Lingayat flock collectively
The BJP understands that a part of its success story within the state is tied to Yediyurappa. The senior BJP chief is a vital issue and the hyperlink between the Lingayats and the get together —a relationship the BJP can not afford to bitter. Yediyurappa holds sturdy sway over the Lingayats who type round 17 per cent of Karnataka’s inhabitants. Lingayats have been the BJP’s core help, however they’re additionally identified to be loyal to Yediyurappa. Such is the clout of the Lingayat neighborhood that it might probably decide the result of polls in as many as 90 to 100 constituencies within the 224-seat Karnataka meeting.
The get together additionally wants to make sure that a insurrection just like the one led by Yediyurappa in 2012 doesn’t occur once more. The previous CM was compelled to stop the get together in 2013 after he confronted graft prices. He floated the Karnataka Janata Social gathering (KJP) and it gained six seats within the 2013 meeting polls. The Lingayat votes break up, severely damaging the BJP’s probabilities to type the federal government within the 2013 meeting elections. The get together that had gained 110 seats within the 2008 polls was lowered to a mere 40 seats in 2013. After a lot deliberations, Yediyurappa did a “ghar wapsi” (homecoming) to assist the BJP consolidate the Lingayat vote base as soon as once more for the 2014 normal elections. The BJP gained 17 out of the 28 Lok Sabha seats within the state. Since then, the get together has been cautiously treading over points associated to Yediyurappa.
Nonetheless, Yediyurappa’s chief ministership too has been chequered. Regardless of being a four-time CM, his tenures had been marred by prices of corruption, a jail time period, and inner politicking that led to his resignation, all 4 occasions.
In July final yr, when Yediyurappa was requested to step down, the Lingayat neighborhood got here collectively to again him and all of the seers from numerous Lingayat mutts prolonged their help to BSY. They even warned the BJP central management of unfavourable penalties if he had been changed.
Nonetheless, the BJP slowly but deftly manoeuvred round the issue and positioned one other Lingayat chief and Yediyurappa protege Basavaraj Bommai because the CM.
The very fact stays that the BJP wants Yediyurappa to win over the Lingayats, but it doesn’t need to give him an excessive amount of energy or prominence.
Santhosh and Yediyurappa
One other challenge that the BJP management has been battling is the ability wrestle between the get together’s nationwide normal secretary (organisation) BL Santhosh and Yediyurappa. Whereas BSY is thought to have been a mentor to many within the state unit, Santhosh additionally has handpicked and groomed leaders who immediately occupy highly effective positions within the get together, within the state, in addition to in Delhi.
Santhosh has been the one that scores of BJP leaders meet to succeed in out to the excessive command. He has been the direct line between Narendra Modi-Amit Shah and the state leaders. Whereas he has been concerned in get together affairs from the Centre, his maintain over the state BJP unit grew stronger after the exit of Yediyurappa final yr.
The best way Yediyurappa ji was handled in 2012 is one thing none of us will have the ability to overlook or forgive, however on the finish of the day we’re all devoted karyakartas
However there have been cases when the Chilly Battle between each leaders was seen for all to see. Sources near Yediyurappa say that Santhosh has been instrumental in making an attempt to persuade the excessive command to take away BSY from the CM put up a number of occasions. “That’s one wound that may by no means heal,” mentioned a Yediyurappa supporter and BJP state unit chief.
“Clearly there’s a Chilly Battle between each leaders. The best way Yediyurappa ji was handled in 2012 is one thing none of us will have the ability to overlook or forgive, however on the finish of the day we’re all devoted karyakartas (employees). We’ll bury variations within the curiosity of the get together. Our goal is to herald the BJP again with full majority and we are going to work in direction of that; so will these leaders.”
A latest announcement by the Bommai cupboard to call the upcoming Shivamogga airport after Yediyurappa was seen as a approach of scoring brownie factors with BSY who continues to be nursing his wounds. After a number of Delhi visits and conferences, Yediyurappa was requested to step down by the excessive command final yr and changed with Bommai. Bommai’s announcement to call the airport is seen as a strategy to appease the chief and depend on his help for the upcoming elections. Yediyurappa, nonetheless, requested Bommai to rethink the choice and “talk about in applicable boards, and title the brand new airport on nice individuals who have contributed to the event of the state, nation and historical past”.
Want for winnable candidates
The profitable streak of the BJP within the states of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Manipur, and Goa has additionally given the get together much-needed confidence. Whereas many within the get together consider that the Karnataka BJP has been capable of make inroads in areas that had been dominated by the Congress and JD(S), leaders agree that there’s a lack of a robust face from the Dakshina Kannada area.
“The BJP is targeted on strengthening the organisation on the base degree. A number of committees have been shaped to make sure well-oiled equipment. Now we have to establish winnable candidates. Our strike price in Dakshina Kannada is way lesser than Central and Northern Karnataka. We have to strengthen Kalyana-Karnataka and now we have to work onerous there, and the get together is finalising a plan for it,” mentioned BJP spokesperson S Prakash.
Karnik provides that the Outdated Mysore area the place the BJP didn’t have a large presence is now slowly transferring in direction of it.
“Our largest problem is profitable 150 seats. We’re very assured that with the event card within the state and the Centre, and with our tallest chief Yediyurappa who at this age has been travelling the size and breadth of the state, we are going to obtain our goal,” he mentioned.
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