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Regardless of being related to some spectacular electoral outcomes for his social gathering over time and now having a seat within the Rajya Sabha, Aam Aadmi Get together (AAP) chief Dr Sandeep Pathak stays an enigmatic determine. His friends give the backroom strategist a number of credit score for AAP’s latest Punjab meeting election sweep. In an unique interview with CNN-News18, the reticent politician, Cambridge PhD holder and former IIT Delhi professor spoke at size about his affiliation with the social gathering and Arvind Kejriwal, his acquired love for surveys, his political journey up to now, latest electoral challenges and those up forward, in addition to the place India’s political framework stands right now. Edited excerpts:
Please inform us about your journey up to now.
The journey has been very fascinating. I used to be born in a small hamlet in Chhattisgarh and my dad and mom are mainly farmers. We aren’t labour class— now we have land, we give it on contract, we make individuals work on it. We had adequate land, economically not within the weaker part, however economically well-off. However the supply of earnings is primarily agriculture and agriculture is what we do usually— my dad and mom, my kin, all of us. So, it’s a very small village, Bataha, the place now we have farmlands. And, I studied until class 6 in my village itself. After that, I went to Bilaspur— the closest metropolis, however at the moment it was the district. My aunt lives there, so I went to stick with her household. From class 7 onwards, I began dwelling with them, after which, I went to a brand new faculty in Bilaspur metropolis. After I was 9 and a half years outdated, I left my dad and mom and went to Bilaspur after which my academic journey started.
Doing all this stuff…Masters and all the things I did in Chhattisgarh. Then, I got here to Hyderabad for additional research. I used to be on the Indian Institute of Chemical Expertise ( IICT ) at Hyderabad after which I went to Pune, to the Nationwide Chemical Laboratory (NCL). My analysis profession began flourishing from right here. After which, I began making ready for exams to go overseas and I began giving interviews, exams, and many others.
The turning level was after I bought by way of to Cambridge college. So, I bought a PhD from Cambridge on high-temperature superconducting supplies. So, I went from Pune to Cambridge and began doing a PhD in Cambridge. I completed there after which I went on to pursue additional research at Oxford, and after that, I went to the USA. There’s a college named MIT, Massachusetts Institute of Expertise. Whereas I used to be at MIT, I needed to come back again to India, so I simply resigned after which got here again to India and joined IIT Delhi.
IIT Delhi as a result of my curiosity was on this route, one thing I needed to do. So, I believed Delhi was the perfect place. I might have gone to any IIT as my CV was good, my analysis background was good, I used to be a great scientist. Every part was good. So, I joined as an assistant professor at IIT Delhi and on the identical time joined Aam Aadmi Get together (AAP) as a volunteer.
Which yr was this? What attracted you to AAP and the way did you meet Arvind Kejriwal?
This was in 2016. It was not as if I bought drawn to AAP after which I joined politics. It’s the different approach spherical. I needed to come back into politics and I didn’t know the place to go, what to do. In that state of mind, I noticed Arvind Kejriwal. He floated his new social gathering. Then I believed it’s a lot easier, a lot simpler to get related to them, particularly with Arvind Kejriwal’s social gathering. I might relate to him very simply, particularly coming from an IIT background, his total strategy and the best way he talked, clearly all of us bought attracted. As a result of his model of politics could be very easy— straight from the guts and to the guts. I simply thought that’s one of the simplest ways. And I all the time needed to contribute for the nation. I all the time needed to be in policymaking. I used to be clear from the start that if I’ve to serve the nation, I’ve to be within the policymaking our bodies. I didn’t know the way, however I used to be clear. So, that’s how I simply began with AAP as simply one other strange volunteer.
When did you meet Arvind Kejriwal for the primary time?
So, after I got here to Delhi and wrote an e mail to virtually each chief, a kind of leaders who responded was Ashutosh ji and he known as me for a gathering. We met briefly for 5 minutes. After someday, Dilip Pandey known as me for a gathering after which he put me by way of to Ashish Khetan ji. So I began doing a little analysis work, coverage work with the Delhi Dialogue Fee at the moment. When as soon as Arvind ji visited DDC, I met him together with many different individuals. I used to be one among the many group that met him, it was not a private interplay. After that, Ashish ji despatched me for a survey to Punjab (2017). I used to be not a surveyor. I had completely no concept about what it’s, how it’s. It was only a process. And I used to be a scientist. I used to be the man doing physics, chemistry however OK … He despatched me, so I simply took paper, pad and pen and went to Punjab and took go away from IIT for a couple of days. I began roaming round in Punjab, speaking to individuals, understanding what they had been saying and documenting them. And people paperwork, I used to ship Ashish ji, and finally, they realised that my understanding was, to a sure diploma, right, post-election outcomes.
It was the day of Punjab election outcomes. It was very fascinating. I used to be sitting on that campus, that garden, as somebody had known as me for a gathering. After which he mentioned, “Boss, I’m within the CM home, I can’t come out, so why don’t you come to the CM home?” I had no entry to the CM home, so I requested, “Yaar, I need to come, however how can I enter?” So, he mentioned, “We’ll make you enter and we’ll do a gathering.” So, this man introduced me in, with the instructions. “Aap chup chaap yahan pe baithe raho, aap Sir ke taraf mat ana, aap kinare pe baithe raho (Please sit right here quietly, don’t strategy Sir, please sit in that nook), I’ll come again to you and discuss to you later “. So, I mentioned, “good”. I sat someplace, very distant, and Arvind ji, Ashish Khetan had been sitting on the opposite facet. Ashish ji’s eyes fell on me and, finally, he waved at me and known as me. So I went there. Ashish ji then launched me to Arvind ji, saying that “that is Sandeep and he was the one who was doing the survey”. So, that was the primary time, on the outcome day of Punjab elections in 2017, that I met him. Then he requested me a couple of questions, we exchanged our cellphone numbers, after which we began working collectively.
Through the 2020 Delhi elections, did you get to work a lot with Prashant Kishor?
Initially, we had been making insurance policies, we had been executing all the things. And, then Prashant ji got here into the image. So, when Prashant ji got here into the image, he turned part of the marketing campaign. So, in that sense, we bought related as a result of all of us had been already working. Nevertheless it was not that we had been shut, we determined all the things — no. His crew was working with us. So, in that sense we had interactions. I do know him very properly.
What was your methodology if you went to do your survey in Punjab for the primary time (2017 elections), which, actually, proved to be correct whereas others went flawed?
Principally, survey can be purely science. So, choice of pattern, choice of date, choice of location. So I learn up one thing about surveys, and I might perceive two to a few issues. One factor is the sampling and the second factor is the honesty. You already know it takes a number of work and really laborious work doing surveys. In many of the circumstances, individuals who do surveys are able to doing it however they fudge the info. It’s not that it’s rocket science, it’s the easiest factor one can do. However I’m lethal sincere. I don’t mess with my work. It is rather clear. If I’ve been assigned a process, I do it totally. Each single information that I collected was right. The information choice, the village choice, the placement choice — I chosen scientifically in order that it might symbolize your complete constituency in Punjab. So, though I have to settle for with all humility that total my pattern dimension was representing Punjab however in later phases I learnt rather more concerning the survey. At the moment, it was transient however the information illustration, choice had been rather more correct and it was the laborious work.
Are you able to inform us about your expertise in Punjab? How the tide turned in your favour? As a result of it was clear that you weren’t profitable from the primary day; slowly the momentum constructed…
So, it is vitally fascinating. February 24, 2020, is once we entered Punjab. Roughly, two years you’ll be able to say. So, once we first went there, sure, I used to be undecided what was going to occur. We had individuals, we had vitality, nevertheless it was not ordered in a correct approach. We didn’t have adequate information meeting clever and issues like that. The organisation was completely lacking. In order that’s how we entered and we began working. We weren’t profitable from day 1. My thoughts could be very structured as a result of I’m a educated scientist. Since I’m a educated scientist, I don’t do something randomly. If anybody does something randomly, I simply really feel uncomfortable. Every part I do is organised and systematic. Typically, it delays issues, however that’s how I’m. So, I began constructing the organisation for Punjab and I constructed it in a approach that turned out to be the most effective and strongest weapons that gained us the election.
Why do you say that there was no organisation in Punjab and the way did you construct that?
It will not be right if I mentioned that there was no organisation. There have been individuals already, there have been volunteers. However creating an order, channelising their vitality and consolidating the out there vitality we had was the duty. So, if you construct an organisation, you simply make some individuals, however I constructed your complete Punjab organisation merit-based— each single place that I gave was primarily based on advantage, primarily based on how an individual has carried out, how loyal he’s to the social gathering, how laborious working, how a lot time he has, and the way competent he’s. So, it’s purely a merit-based choice for organisation constructing. And I offered myself simply as a volunteer, not a frontrunner. And I dedicated to them and clearly mentioned about my honesty— “Koi khareed nahi sakta, paida nahi hua hai jo khareed le jayega” (There’s nobody who should purchase me off, an individual like that hasn’t been born)— and that gave them confidence as a result of that they had a lot apprehension over many issues like mismanagement and different issues. Slowly, I began profitable their confidence they usually began feeling assured about me and when choices within the organisation had been achieved primarily based on advantage. So, individuals began being pleased. And when your organisation is pleased, all the things falls in line, vitality will get confined and unified and that’s very useful.
What was the turning level for you throughout Punjab elections and what had been essentially the most difficult moments?
I might say there was no turning level. It was all gradual. And it was from day 1, as my organisation began changing into stronger and stronger and stronger, I turned an increasing number of assured. Slowly, we constructed the organisation from the district degree, then block degree, then circle degree, then the village degree. I nonetheless keep in mind the day once we had our organisation in place on the village degree – that day I used to be content material, and that day, I mentioned, “Boss, we’re going to win this election.” As a result of, you recognize, Akali Dal and Congress had robust individuals in each village. Regardless of how a lot “hawa” (ambiance) you create, how good a marketing campaign you run, however finally it’s election day that can win you the election. And in the event you don’t have individuals to struggle over there, you can’t do something. When my organisation was prepared in each village, I had eleven-member committees in each single village from all of the communities, I used to be very assured that we might win. So, it was the organisation, it was the vitality within the volunteers, it was the fixed suggestions we had been taking from the general public.
Our social gathering’s survey system is without doubt one of the strongest within the nation. And it may possibly compete with any non-public company. In reality, I can say that it’s far superior than any non-public company’s survey system. And it is vitally, very systematic, very scientific, very ordered and really intensive. So, we stored operating surveys and it (the help) was step by step rising. The general public had some apprehensions concerning the chief ministerial face, however the day we bought readability that it’ll be Bhagwant Mann, it was all clear.
Did the announcement of Charanjit Singh Channi as chief minister after which because the face create any nervousness?
It did, sure. Not nervousness in a approach however uncertainty. As a result of it was clear when Captain was there, we knew the best way to take care of him, we knew the modus operandi, we knew how he would have performed himself and what he would have achieved. However when a brand new title got here on the helm, in that approach we weren’t clear during which approach he would go. He might have achieved it significantly better contemplating the caste mixtures and different issues… However then, we additionally elevated the depth (of the marketing campaign), the best way we labored, we began organising Dalit Samman Sammel and Dalit Samman Sabhas in each village. Nobody knew about this… Hundreds and 1000’s and 1000’s of villages we stored touching, each family. We didn’t let go of the Dalit neighborhood simply because Congress introduced a Dalit chief minister, we stored reaching out to all communities equally. Our marketing campaign was very very rigorous. Not even a single information was fudged. That’s the fantastic thing about it.
In your evaluation, how damaging was Navjot Singh Sidhu for the Congress social gathering?
Effectively, that was good for us. The complete Congress social gathering was damaging for themselves all over the place. Sidhu was one among them. What Captain was doing was additionally destruction in a approach. What Mr Channi was doing, it was additionally destruction in a approach. Sidhu is a little more vocal, it was rather more obvious. So, clearly, in your own home, if individuals struggle, it isn’t good.
Even Ravidass Jayanti, which noticed 1000’s of individuals from the scheduled caste neighborhood on the streets, and lots of even saying that they supported Channi ji, might have proved to be a degree of mobilisation of help for Congress and Channi. However that didn’t occur. Why?
That didn’t occur due to two causes. One is that the Aam Aadmi Get together was very robust, and two, individuals needed to vary the federal government. So, that sense was there. The strongest and most credible possibility was the Aam Aadmi Get together. Quantity two, that they had seen Arvind Kejriwal’s mannequin of governance in Delhi. So, they already had first-hand expertise as a result of Punjab is adjoining to Delhi. Additionally, quantity three, as a result of they misplaced hope in Punjab in Congress and Akali Dal. And quantity 4, our organisation was very robust. Quantity 5, our marketing campaign was very intense and the marketing campaign was proper on the spot.
Bhagwant Mann additionally – who introduced in his personal strengths?
Two advantages. It cleared the confusion amongst our volunteers as to who would be the chief ministerial face, quantity two, he was somebody amongst ourselves, and quantity three, he is an effective orator, clearly. So, sure, the Bhagwant Mann announcement was useful — consolidated and stored consolidating.
Any nervousness over the last days within the run-up to the polls with Kumar Vishwas’s allegations?
We knew Kumar Vishwas had no standing in Punjab and we knew that nobody was shopping for what he mentioned— we do surveys. It was a really opportunistic and motivated form of factor. Our survey was reflecting clearly that it was not sinking anyplace. So we weren’t fearful about it. Identical when Rajewal ji floated his social gathering. We had been a bit confused watching the way it goes for them. However then after a couple of days, after the primary PC itself, it was clear that they weren’t prepared… Surveying is the perfect factor we do on a regular basis and that provides us an concept of whether or not we’re heading in the right direction or the flawed observe.
Did you do any surveys on Balbir Rajewal’s acceptability, as AAP’s chief ministerial face?
We did for everybody, we did for everyone, everyone…if you do a survey you embody all these people who find themselves really contenders. He made a celebration and he got here on the forefront, preventing elections. So for his social gathering, for the kisan social gathering, not for us, not for anybody else, however for his personal social gathering we surveyed him and he was not acceptable.
Another contenders that you just thought might develop into the chief ministerial face of Punjab?
No, it was very clear. It was simply concerning the timing. We needed to make it scientific and we had calculated the trajectory. We didn’t need any decline within the vote share. We needed it to go upward and due to this fact we had chosen the time. We had strategised clearly once we would disclose and what to do. It was clear from day 1.
You had a really lengthy assembly with the Delhi chief minister at this time, taking a look at plans forward. A very powerful states could be Gujarat and Himachal…
Gujarat, Himachal that are going to elections very quickly, after which now we have Haryana, Rajasthan the place now we have excellent prospects…Chhattisgarh. So, all these states are vital.
Inform us one thing about Gujarat. As a result of all eyes are on Gujarat and since AAP had introduced in 2017 that it will contest Gujarat elections and eventually, in fact, it didn’t. How are you taking a look at this election?
Effectively, this election could be totally different. On this election, we’ll struggle very critically. And now we have an excellent probability.
Superb probability of?
We will type the federal government over there. We’ve achieved some surveys. In reality, the BJP authorities’s intelligence(enter) is saying that there are fifty-five constituencies the place we’re very robust. We’ve achieved our personal surveys and evaluation, we don’t enter any state with out doing our homework. I believe we stand an excellent probability. Twenty-seven years is a really very long time and from the skin, in the event you take a look at it, it will appear like it’s a mandate for PM Modi or for Amit Shah – no, it isn’t. The chief minister of Gujarat is totally different. It’s not a mandate for PM Modi, HM Amit Shah or anybody else. It’s a mandate for native CM, native authorities, no work achieved, faculty system, well being system doesn’t exist. Corruption at an all-time excessive, minimal wages… all the things is similar as in every other a part of the nation the place the system will not be working.
What do your individual surveys in Gujarat reveal?
I believe we’re in an excellent scenario and we’re progressing properly. And at this cut-off date, we might not disclose something and it will not be acceptable for any credible particular person to throw numbers. However there are about 55 to 58 seats the place we stand on very robust floor at this cut-off date. And step by step, once we go up the ladder, we’ll additional dent their vote share in lots of different locations.
Whereas speaking about Gujarat, maybe it’s also vital to keep in mind that AAP didn’t try this properly in Goa or in Uttarakhand. Why do you suppose that occurred and the way are you going to right that relating to Gujarat?
We’ve began analysing what went flawed. We had been very hopeful in Uttarakhand and Goa as properly. So we’re analysing. So, in all probability, the technique must be re-looked and re-worked and we’ll return once more and work laborious once more. However positively, we have to perceive extra about what went flawed. And there are such a lot of different issues we have to study. We aren’t a celebration that is aware of all the things. We’re a really small social gathering with restricted assets.
Does it (AAP’s efficiency in Goa and Uttarakhand) have one thing to do with the CM face? Maybe, you didn’t have a mass chief like Bhagwant Mann in these states?
Effectively, a number of parameters. In such a posh factor when public minds are concerned, lakhs of public minds are concerned, and one parameter can’t contribute to most of it. There are a number of parameters, a number of causes, timings of issues, campaigns now we have. Clearly, you mentioned about (CM face), it is vitally complicated. Every part needs to be in place, that too, if you find yourself difficult a celebration just like the BJP which is a really, very robust political social gathering. And we don’t have assets. We stretch skinny ourselves and work laborious. But, I’m assured.
As you’ve mentioned you retain doing surveys. I need to perceive how vital is that this ‘Hindu vs Muslim’ factor (polarisation) that retains enjoying out? There are a number of voters who can’t establish with this kind of narrative. And when there are different urgent issues — I’ve requested this to many others additionally— why is it that unemployment will not be a difficulty, why is it that inflation will not be a difficulty? Is it the failure of the opposition events?
Effectively, I might say good luck to those that rake up such points and I wouldn’t need to touch upon what these persons are doing. They’ve been doing it for a really very long time. It’s not the primary time. However our social gathering’s focus and agenda are quite simple. It’s governance-related points — faculties, hospitals, primary governance, livelihood. Our agenda is that this — we’re in politics to enhance this. We don’t need to be distracted by every other factor.
I’m asking this additionally within the context of Gujarat as a result of it’s thought of by some to be the ‘laboratory of Hindutva’ politics. Might that be a problem for you in Gujarat?
Effectively, I don’t suppose so. Persons are combating the identical primary wants there. I met a couple of individuals there on my final journey. Their day by day wages are Rs 200… Rs 6,000, Rs 8,000…kaise ghar chalega. Public ke dimag mein alternate nahi tha. Inka koi laboratory nahi hai, kuch nahi hai, koi kaam nahi karne waali hai yeh koi laboratory. Public ko achhi zindagi chahiye, public prepared hai. Sataiees saal inhone raaj kia , ab inka time aa gaya (how will they run their houses. The general public didn’t have another. They don’t have any laboratory, it isn’t going to work. The individuals desire a good life, they’re prepared. These individuals have dominated for 27 years. Now it’s time for them to go).
What concerning the Congress social gathering in Gujarat?
Congress social gathering exist nahi hoti, Congress social gathering ladti nahi chunav. Yeh hum kehtein hain na, “Congress social gathering haar gayi”. Congress social gathering harti thodi hai, Congress social gathering ladhti nahi hai. Hum ladenge (Congress doesn’t exist there. It doesn’t struggle elections. We are saying the Congress misplaced. It doesn’t lose. It simply doesn’t struggle. We’ll struggle).
However, in Goa, the Congress did higher than AAP…
Higher kia, kyon ki unka wahan purana organisation hai, infrastructure hai. Unka organisation bahut jagah hai. Ab unke cross chief nahi hai jo route de sake. Unke organisation jahan hai, woh bechare confused hain. Unko kuch samajh nahi aa raha (They did higher as a result of that they had organisation and infrastructure there for years. They’ve an organisation in lots of locations. They don’t have leaders to indicate the suitable route. Wherever they’ve organisation, the individuals there are confused. They don’t know what to do).
Final time, the Congress social gathering did give a great struggle in Gujarat. Why do you are feeling that the persons are not going to belief the Congress there?
Final time, the Patidar agitation was additionally there. The Congress bought the advantage of these issues. Even after that, and powerful anti-incumbency going towards the BJP, nonetheless, they may not win. If they may not win final time, they can’t win this time.
However the Congress might strategy Gujarat in a different way. How will you strategy the Gujarat elections?
It is rather easy. We’ll stick with our primary agenda and we’ll strategy it in the identical approach. It’s simply that the general public and folks, and folks need change.
How vital could be the selection of a mass chief as CM face in Gujarat?
It’s important. In case you throw up a face, all the things surrounds that particular person. So, it’s important. It helps.
What concerning the recognition of the Prime Minister? In any case, Gujarat is his house state.
He’s well-liked, however in spite of everything, he’s the prime minister. The mandate (in an meeting election) will not be for him as a chief minister. Elections can’t be held in his title. He’s the prime minister. Elections will revolve across the chief minister.
And what about Himachal Pradesh?
Himachal can be bipolar politics. Individuals usually are fed up with each the events. There may be house. We’ll struggle elections rigorously, vigorously, intensely in Himachal. The Congress, as traditional, will give up, they usually have surrendered. We’ll defeat the BJP as properly, they’re unpopular.
Once you struggle an election, who’s your adversary? The incumbent authorities?
Whoever is there, seat by seat.
What about your present position? What about Chhattisgarh?
Regardless of the social gathering decides I’ll do. For now, the main focus is Gujarat. In Chhattisgarh, Gopal ji and Sanjeev Jha ji are working. So, Chhattisgarh can be bipolar politics. So issues can be excellent in Chhattisgarh; excellent possibilities in Chhattisgarh.
How do you see your position as a Rajya Sabha member and a politician within the nation?
Effectively, I don’t know the way I might show myself as a politician. I’m a really strange particular person. My thoughts works as a scientist, not as a politician. However I believe I’ll do the essential process, job, task assigned to me truthfully. Honesty and laborious work are there. So I might have the ability to justify.
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