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How the negotiations between Putin and Biden have influenced the disaster scenario in Ukraine, whose associate India will finally be — Russia or the USA, and why nobody goes to disconnect Russia from the SWIFT cost system — Pravda. Ru editor-in-chief Inna Novikova talked about it in an interview with political scientist Sergey Mikheyev.
There can be no struggle between Russia and NATO
In the course of the talks between presidents Putin and Biden, Russia requested for ensures for NATO’s non-expansion to the east. NATO responded that there could be no ensures in any respect, and that the US would proceed performing as for the previous many years earlier than.
One has to tell apart right here between what they are saying in public and what they really do in actuality. Certainly, the Individuals should not going to present us any ensures identical to that, they’ll carry on deceiving Russia. It has not too long ago transpired that the Individuals have been contemplating an choice to simply accept partial autonomy of the Donbas inside Ukraine, albeit it might be completely different from the one specified within the Minsk Accords. They supposedly needed to make it seem like an act of courtesy, to carry it up as a giant concession for Russia. Nevertheless, that is nothing however an act of deception to make Russia hand over on Donbas.
The Individuals will do all the things to save lots of their picture. They won’t transfer to fulfill any of Russia’s necessities: the stability of energy is improper right here. They’d not met our necessities again through the Soviet instances both, and they won’t do it now.
The talks haven’t been held for nothing, although. Joe Biden mentioned that the US was not going to ship US troops to Ukraine. Article 5 of the NATO Collective Safety Treaty doesn’t apply to Ukraine, so the Individuals is not going to struggle for Ukraine. Furthermore, they’ve a plan to evacuate US residents from Ukraine in case of an emergency. The Ukrainian authorities have thus obtained a transparent message from the White Home: if one thing occurs, it’s Ukrainian people who find themselves going to die, it’s the Ukrainian economic system that’s going to tumble down. The West will merely put extra sanctions on Russia in return. This didn’t sound like comfort for Ukraine. This is without doubt one of the outcomes of the talks between Putin and Biden.
Ukraine is not going to go to struggle with Russia with out ensures of assist from different nations. Nevertheless, there can be no assist offered.
Zelensky’s crew must faux now that all the things is okay. In actuality, nevertheless, the US will proceed feeding the Ukrainian regime simply to maintain it afloat. If Russia succeeds in having no NATO’s navy presence in Ukraine, this can be successful. Nevertheless, this isn’t an answer to the Ukrainian disaster. If Ukraine continues having anti-Russian governments, in the event that they make their propaganda machine work in order that younger Ukrainians develop as much as despise Russia, it can represent a giant drawback for Russia for a few years to come back.
Russia is now making an attempt to make use of the disaster in Ukraine as a pretext for negotiations on broader geopolitical matters. Russia’s safety ensures should not restricted to Ukraine alone.
Triangle Russia-India-China
America is worried concerning the rising alliance between Russia and China. There may be additionally India, an enormous energy too. Russia and India have signed plenty of large-scale agreements not too long ago. To what extent is the West able to oppose this alliance?
I don’t see any prospects for cooperation between the US and India that might threaten Russia. That is primarily a sport on the contradictions between India and China. The Individuals want India as a rustic that may compete with China. There’s a long-standing territorial battle between China and India. If Russia might be a mediator and suggest an answer to the battle, this could be a significant breakthrough into the long run.
The Individuals cannot provide their mediation. They will use India to place strain on China to exacerbate a possible battle. Russia might present up right here as a peacemaker. The trio of Russia, India and China might change the stability of energy on the earth and create severe competitors to the West too, offered that each one the three nations are members of the Shanghai Cooperation Group (SCO).
Putin’s go to to India has proven that the Individuals won’t be able to make use of India of their anti-Russian manipulations. The agreements that India and Russia have concluded within the navy sphere straight contradict the US regulation on sanctions towards the nations that purchase Russian weapons. Sadly, the regulation has affected the gross sales of the Russian arms internationally.
The West has been making an attempt to disconnect Russia from the SWIFT cost system for just a few years already. Can they’ve worldwide establishments concerned for the aim?
In the event that they do it, they won’t keep away from penalties. That is a global system, and Russia is a significant participant in it. Once they make such threats, they trigger harm to the greenback, the euro and all the cost system, which is predicated on the US greenback. That is helpful to 3rd currencies, such because the yuan. If this occurs, Russia must discover an accessible different. If Russia is disconnected from SWIFT, the nation will not be going to die of starvation. The Russian economic system will take a dramatic flip in the direction of different currencies and the home foreign money too.
Such a flip of occasions will make rivals of the West stronger and discredit the SWIFT system per se. If it seems that such enormous gamers as Russia will be disconnected from the system for far-fetched political causes, it might imply that the system is unreliable.
Such a transfer will have an effect on the European and even American economies too as Europe and America are the primary consumers of Russia’s debt obligations. It is like with Nord Stream 2. Dozens of European corporations have invested enormous cash within the undertaking. Due to this fact, in the event that they wish to impose sanctions on Nord Stream 2, they’ll trigger an enormous blow to these corporations at a time.
Technically, one can disconnect Russia from SWIFT, however this may entail a cascade of damaging penalties — quick and long-term ones — for everybody else.
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